Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:46:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92d8…a656
sports · 150 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$41 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$37 · open −$78
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,198
Realized+$37
Unrealized−$78
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses22 / 12
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions116
Markets (closed)34 / 150
History coverage3d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day59.5
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 116 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$37
14 days+$37
30 days+$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+3%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 81¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Yes 57¢ 58¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Hanwha Eagles 61¢ 89¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+45%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 63¢ 81¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+29%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 75¢ 100¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+33%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 54¢ 34¢ $20 $13 −$7 (-36%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Yes 50¢ 62¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+25%)
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? Yes 30¢ 36¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+20%)
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 55¢ 64¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+17%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Yes 50¢ 57¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+15%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ 69¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+11%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 46¢ 50¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 51¢ 52¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? Yes 53¢ 55¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 63¢ 64¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $10 −$5 -45%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 −$6 -62%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 −$5 -54%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$8 +42%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $10 +$7 +67%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $10 +$10 +101%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Mexico to score first vs. South Africa? Jun 11 $10 +$3 +29%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 +$7 +75%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $20 +$7 +36%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $10 +$9 +83%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$6 +55%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $10 +$9 +90%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $21 +$17 +83%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 +$5 +50%
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $10 −$2 -24%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $10 +$12 +119%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $20 +$14 +69%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $9 +$2 +23%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Jun 10 $10 +$1 +8%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $10 +$10 +101%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 8-14? Jun 09 $10 +$2 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% +$21
sports 46% −$64
crypto 3% +$2
world 1% +$1
politics 1% $0
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $10 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 27¢ $10 1h
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 68¢ $10 5h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 7h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 7h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 44¢ $10 7h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 7h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 40¢ $10 7h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 7h
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers BUY Kia Tigers 55¢ $10 8h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 61¢ $10 8h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY Samsung Lions 60¢ $10 8h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 66¢ $10 8h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 51¢ $10 8h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 62¢ $10 8h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 52¢ $10 8h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 49¢ $9 8h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 51¢ $10 8h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 51¢ $10 8h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 55¢ $10 8h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 57¢ $10 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 8h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 BUY Under 78¢ $9 8h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 63¢ $10 8h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 58¢ $10 8h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 58¢ $10 8h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 75¢ $10 9h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 BUY Under 80¢ $10 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +7.2% -3.0% 65% 59% -1.0%
≤30d 34 +7.2% -3.0% 65% 59% -1.0%
≤90d 34 +7.2% -3.0% 65% 59% -1.0%
all 34 +7.2% -3.0% 65% 59% -1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.0% 59% -1.0%
10% ← realistic here -12.3% 53% -10.5%
15% -20.8% 47% -19.2%
20% -28.5% 32% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,198.25 · official $1,198.73 (match) · 203 history records