Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:32:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92d9…8451
crypto · 517 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$384 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$483 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$483
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses265 / 251
Open positions1
Markets (closed)516 / 517
History coverage20d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day139.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 516 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$306
7 days−$346
14 days−$376
30 days−$483
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 76¢ 84¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$16 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$9 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $83 +$12 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$8 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $109 −$29 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$28 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$12 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $92 −$12 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$20 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $57 +$13 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $54 +$16 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$17 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$9 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $83 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$16 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $69 −$39 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$481
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 367 -3.5% -12.7% 60% 35% -12.6%
≤30d 516 -8.4% -17.1% 51% 32% -13.5%
≤90d 516 -8.4% -17.1% 51% 32% -13.5%
all 516 -8.4% -17.1% 51% 32% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover139.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 32% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 24% -21.7%
15% -32.3% 11% -29.3%
20% -38.9% 7% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.70 · official $14.90 · 3220 history records