Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:15:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92df…b478
crypto · 990 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$456 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$456 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$456
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses459 / 639
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1098 / 990
History coverage39d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day80.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1098 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$202
7 days−$292
14 days−$343
30 days−$384
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1402%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +321%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1484%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +1222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1337%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1435%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -3317%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1422%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1502%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1507%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1345%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1290%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1528%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -826%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1091%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1417%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1658%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1348%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1484%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1324%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1458%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -3322%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +2413%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1422%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1385%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -714%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +959%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1432%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1532%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1337%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1381%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -895%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1347%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1468%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -4121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +1038%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +1061%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$274
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 589 +18.5% +7.2% 39% 32% -14.0%
≤30d 956 +9.8% -0.7% 42% 37% -14.1%
≤90d 1098 +9.5% -0.9% 42% 36% -13.8%
all 1098 +9.5% -0.9% 42% 36% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.9% 36% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -10.4% 33% -22.0%
15% -19.1% 27% -29.5%
20% -27.0% 18% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records