Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:40:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
92 0x92e1…b856 crypto 62 markets active 18h ago coverage 6d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$9 (+3%) realized +$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate84%52W / 10L
Drawdown78%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day20.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +0.5% -9.1% 84% 15% -8.7%
≤30d 62 +0.5% -9.1% 84% 15% -8.7%
≤90d 62 +0.5% -9.1% 84% 15% -8.7%
all 62 +0.5% -9.1% 84% 15% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 15% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 10% -17.4%
15% -25.7% 3% -25.4%
20% -33.0% 2% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
79% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses52 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)62 / 62
History coverage6d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day20.7
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 62 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $5 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $5 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 194 history records