trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 27 | +15.8% | +4.7% | 48% | 44% | +8.5% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +15.8% | +4.7% | 48% | 44% | +8.5% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +15.8% | +4.7% | 48% | 44% | +8.5% |
| all | 27 | +15.8% | +4.7% | 48% | 44% | +8.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +4.7% | 44% | +8.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -5.3% | 41% | -1.9% |
| 15% | -14.4% | 37% | -11.4% |
| 20% | -22.8% | 33% | -20.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $60 | $63 | +$3 (+5%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $31 | $35 | +$3 (+11%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $33 | $32 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $33 | $22 | −$11 (-34%) |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 13¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-87%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1,632 | +$858 | +53% |
| Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 20 | $1,265 | −$727 | -57% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $174 | −$170 | -97% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $163 | +$112 | +68% |
| Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 20 | $300 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $114 | −$111 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden? | Jun 20 | $109 | −$106 | -97% |
| Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia | Jun 20 | $82 | −$80 | -97% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $234 | +$360 | +154% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $950 | +$750 | +79% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $92 | −$90 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 20 | $934 | +$341 | +36% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $52 | −$51 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Morocco? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Jun 19 | $15 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 19 | $160 | +$43 | +27% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $40 | +$8 | +20% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia? | Jun 19 | $202 | +$141 | +70% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Australia? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 19 | $21 | +$18 | +88% |
| Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$28 | +550% |
| Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $18 | +$38 | +206% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $77 | +$276 | +359% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $103 | −$102 | -99% |
| Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main | Jun 15 | $82 | −$80 | -98% |