Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T05:10:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
92 0x92eb…9fcd other 55 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (123 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$5,223 (+5%) realized +$5,223 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +42% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +5% what you keep after slip
Net edge+5%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate60%33W / 22L
Whale WR71%big bets
Drawdown38%max
Avg bet$1,814per market
Trades / day122.7pace
Fees−$306est.
Kalshi-fit45%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,500
7 days+$4,609
14 days+$4,236
30 days+$4,236
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 79% +$2,700
sports 17% +$1,142
world 2% +$266
crypto 1% +$127
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (123 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+28.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +47.2% +33.2% 63% 37% -5.3%
≤30d 55 +42.2% +28.7% 60% 35% -5.7%
≤90d 55 +42.2% +28.7% 60% 35% -5.7%
all 55 +42.2% +28.7% 60% 35% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover122.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +28.7% 35% -5.7%
10% +16.4% 18% -14.8%
15% ← realistic here +5.1% 9% -23.0%
20% -5.2% 7% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 38% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
39% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +42% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 71% (≥$1,810) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -9% → late +91% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
9.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$254 vs −$189 · ×1.35 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×2.02 per $1 lost it wins $2.02
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,223
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses33 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$306
Open positions0
Markets (closed)55 / 55
History coverage8d
Avg bet$1,814
Trades / day122.7
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit45%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 55 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $988 +$155 +16%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 Jun 18 $564 +$367 +65%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $37 +$10 +28%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $6 +$25 +419%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $942 −$103 -11%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $501 +$53 +11%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $4,796 +$505 +10%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $894 +$14 +2%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $1,466 +$1,401 +96%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $1,810 +$434 +24%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $1,186 −$103 -9%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $563 −$38 -7%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $22,083 −$1,299 -6%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $1,179 −$182 -16%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $4,277 +$477 +11%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $985 −$31 -3%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $4,627 +$1,759 +38%
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Jun 16 $426 +$46 +11%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $500 +$32 +6%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $2,303 +$266 +12%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $912 +$117 +13%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1,457 −$86 -6%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $253 +$62 +25%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5 Jun 15 $2,191 +$590 +27%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5 Jun 15 $1,002 +$29 +3%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $679 −$42 -6%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $26 −$25 -97%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $828 −$38 -4%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1,066 +$127 +12%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $7,742 −$62 -1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $777 +$15 +2%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $141 +$19 +14%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $199 −$159 -80%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $500 −$500 -100%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1,143 −$141 -12%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $690 −$120 -17%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2,518 +$121 +5%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3,171 +$28 +1%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $265 −$66 -25%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $119 +$6 +5%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $104 +$5 +5%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $1,467 +$30 +2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2,149 −$239 -11%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $721 +$251 +35%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4,560 −$449 -10%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $950 −$93 -10%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,218 +$215 +18%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6,071 +$1,138 +19%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $375 +$28 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 5¢ $8 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 5¢ $4 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 4¢ $0 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 4¢ $1 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 4¢ $0 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 4¢ $4 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 4¢ $4 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 4¢ $0 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 7¢ $28 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 7¢ $2 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 7¢ $73 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 7¢ $79 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 7¢ $5 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 7¢ $196 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 64¢ $173 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 64¢ $24 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 64¢ $73 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 64¢ $55 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 63¢ $19 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 63¢ $19 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 63¢ $1 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 4¢ $23 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 41¢ $568 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 39¢ $2 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 39¢ $29 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 39¢ $49 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 39¢ $27 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 39¢ $64 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 39¢ $320 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 39¢ $50 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1055 history records