trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -22.5% | -29.8% | 50% | 50% | -0.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -24.2% | -31.4% | 44% | 44% | -13.4% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -15.4% | -23.4% | 38% | 38% | -12.2% |
| all | 16 | -15.4% | -23.4% | 38% | 38% | -12.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.4% | 38% | -12.2% |
| 10% | -30.7% | 31% | -20.6% |
| 15% | -37.4% | 31% | -28.3% |
| 20% | -43.6% | 31% | -35.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $38 | +$8 (+25%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $45 | $37 | −$7 (-17%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $27 | $22 | −$4 (-17%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-50%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 | Jun 16 | $154 | −$154 | -100% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $246 | +$232 | +95% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 10 | $20 | +$3 | +16% |
| England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score | Jun 10 | $37 | −$36 | -98% |
| Georgia vs. Romania: Both Teams to Score | Jun 02 | $51 | +$42 | +82% |
| Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score | Jun 02 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | May 30 | $203 | +$182 | +90% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $196 | −$193 | -98% |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer | May 30 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirez | May 02 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-03? | May 02 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02? | May 02 | $97 | +$333 | +344% |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-02? | May 02 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 29 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 08 | $50 | −$49 | -99% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 07 | $12 | +$15 | +128% |