Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:20:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9304…3eba
sports · 6 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$53 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$83
Realized−$33
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)2 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$33
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 53¢ 34¢ $48 $30 −$18 (-37%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 58¢ 56¢ $27 $27 −$1 (-3%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 52¢ 50¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-5%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 49¢ 46¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $7 3h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 52¢ $21 4h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 58¢ $28 5h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $12 23h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 53¢ $49 24h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 42¢ $21 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $83.40 · official $83.41 (match) · 8 history records