Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:01:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9309…de69
crypto · 1112 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$23 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$180 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$180
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses555 / 555
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1110 / 1112
History coverage50d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day47.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1110 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 49¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 52¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$179
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 487 +1.1% -8.5% 55% 54% -13.0%
≤30d 1093 -0.8% -10.3% 50% 47% -11.5%
≤90d 1110 -1.0% -10.5% 50% 47% -12.5%
all 1110 -1.0% -10.5% 50% 47% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 47% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 44% -20.9%
15% -26.9% 42% -28.5%
20% -34.0% 39% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.24 · official $6.89 (match) · 3461 history records