Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:08:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x930e…38cf
sports · 320 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$3,297 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,302 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized+$3,302
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses227 / 91
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$1,921
Open positions7
Markets (closed)318 / 320
History coverage54d
Avg bet$161
Trades / day61.5
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 7 History 318 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$144
7 days+$934
14 days+$1,150
30 days+$1,712
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes 89¢ 92¢ $13 $13 +$1 (+4%)
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 71¢ 89¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+25%)
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 46¢ 76¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+65%)
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 48¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+12%)
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes 26¢ 7¢ $18 $5 −$13 (-74%)
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 30¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+65%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,013 −$1 -0%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,010 −$30 -3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $691 +$44 +6%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $45 +$8 +17%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $570 +$2 +0%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$5 +119%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $694 +$39 +6%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $26 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $0 $0 +50%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1,472 +$67 +4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $440 +$20 +4%
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? Jun 11 $12 $0 +0%
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $420 +$35 +8%
Will B8 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $704 +$9 +1%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 +$1 +155%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $9 +$8 +86%
Will Monte qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $113 $0 +0%
Will paiN qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $16 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $5 +$5 +100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $330 $0 -0%
Will G2 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 08 $109 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$10 +100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $104 +$9 +9%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $400 +$40 +10%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$7 +72%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2,540 +$173 +7%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $15 +$3 +21%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $85 +$2 +3%
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? Jun 08 $8 +$4 +53%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3,248 −$77 -2%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $16 +$8 +50%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $45 +$25 +56%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $40 +$12 +30%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,545 −$19 -1%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $142 +$8 +6%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $56 +$38 +68%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $172 +$8 +5%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $44 −$8 -18%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -51%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $143 +$202 +142%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 $0 +50%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $30 +$22 +74%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $11 +$10 +91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$3,348
other 2% +$21
world 0% −$71
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 44¢ $1,012 12m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 43¢ $279 20m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 43¢ $151 20m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 43¢ $15 20m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 43¢ $201 20m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 1¢ $7 26m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 46¢ $231 26m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 46¢ $35 26m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 1¢ $1 26m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 1¢ $4 26m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 1¢ $2 26m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 1¢ $0 26m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 46¢ $102 26m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 0¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 0¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 55¢ $43 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 53¢ $34 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 53¢ $7 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 54¢ $18 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 54¢ $17 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 54¢ $33 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 54¢ $6 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 53¢ $16 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 53¢ $56 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 54¢ $24 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 54¢ $82 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 54¢ $30 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 54¢ $53 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 53¢ $101 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 53¢ $85 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 +25.4% +13.5% 75% 42% -5.5%
≤30d 169 +25.8% +13.8% 73% 43% -5.3%
≤90d 318 +32.5% +19.9% 71% 49% -3.7%
all 318 +32.5% +19.9% 71% 49% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.9% 49% -3.7%
10% ← realistic here +8.4% 44% -12.9%
15% -2.1% 39% -21.3%
20% -11.7% 31% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.39 · official $42.39 (match) · 3500 history records