Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:29:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9310…5e55
sports · 1508 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8,703 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,741 · open +$41
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,249
Realized−$8,741
Unrealized+$41
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses620 / 886
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$293
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1506 / 1508
History coverage141d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day15.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 2 History 1506 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$170
7 days−$234
14 days−$691
30 days−$1,178
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2,000 $2,043 +$43 (+2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 54¢ 54¢ $208 $206 −$2 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $11 −$1 -7%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $110 −$110 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 10 $18 +$19 +101%
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) Jun 09 $6 −$3 -47%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 09 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $5 +$2 +44%
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 07 $5 +$5 +103%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $2 +$1 +65%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +73%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $11 +$4 +32%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $5 $0 -1%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $42 −$11 -26%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $18 +$18 +101%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $19 +$32 +168%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $8 +$6 +73%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 07 $2 +$2 +93%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) Jun 02 $8 −$8 -100%
Exact Score: CR Vasco da Gama 1 - 1 CA Mineiro? Jun 02 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw? Jun 02 $29 −$10 -34%
Will United States win on 2026-05-31? Jun 02 $9 −$9 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Jun 02 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31? Jun 02 $122 −$122 -100%
Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5) Jun 01 $18 +$11 +60%
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $8 +$17 +206%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $110 +$106 +97%
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $394 −$60 -15%
Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5 May 31 $18 −$9 -50%
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-29? May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5 May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 31 $3 −$3 -100%
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5 May 31 $6 −$6 -100%
Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw? May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 31 $27 −$7 -26%
Will Scotland win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $12 −$12 -100%
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5 May 31 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $18 −$18 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$1,459
other 43% −$6,890
world 3% −$268
finance 0% −$47
crypto 0% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $211 4m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 33¢ $5 58m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 46¢ $8 58m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $8 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 33¢ $6 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 53¢ $12 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 34¢ $6 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 34¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $12 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $18 23h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 60¢ $12 47h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 10¢ $3 2d
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $3 2d
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 49¢ $6 2d
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) BUY Iceland 45¢ $12 2d
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? SELL Yes 78¢ $37 2d
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 38¢ $18 3d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? BUY No 6¢ $5 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 53¢ $110 3d
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 18¢ $3 5d
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 57¢ $2 5d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 5d
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? SELL Yes 24¢ $2 5d
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 60¢ $2 5d
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 5d
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07? SELL No 57¢ $6 5d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 5d
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) SELL Croatia 32¢ $3 5d
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) BUY Croatia 39¢ $3 5d
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) BUY Croatia 49¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -27.6% -34.5% 33% 33% -54.9%
≤30d 255 -17.4% -25.3% 34% 33% -21.4%
≤90d 775 -7.5% -16.3% 39% 38% -18.0%
all 1506 -5.9% -14.8% 41% 40% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 40% -17.9%
10% -23.0% 39% -25.7%
15% -30.4% 38% -32.9%
20% -37.2% 37% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,248.58 · official $2,248.58 (match) · 3500 history records