Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:05:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x931a…4e00
crypto · 213 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$336 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$96 · open −$76
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$171
Realized−$96
Unrealized−$76
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses124 / 87
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)211 / 213
History coverage31d
Avg bet$139
Trades / day41.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 211 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$275
7 days−$687
14 days−$93
30 days−$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Up 81¢ 52¢ $179 $114 −$64 (-36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Up 62¢ 52¢ $68 $56 −$12 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $133 $0 −$133 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET Jun 14 $88 +$22 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $97 +$14 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET Jun 14 $74 −$72 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $56 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $78 +$30 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $102 −$92 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $79 +$32 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $70 −$68 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $93 −$91 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $178 −$172 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $285 +$52 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$32 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $141 −$138 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $91 +$19 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 13 $116 −$73 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $74 +$37 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $252 −$9 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$35 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$45 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $192 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $92 −$64 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $262 +$19 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$22 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $98 −$74 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$15 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$30 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$327 +3116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $106 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$69 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$52 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $157 −$152 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $165 +$57 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $173 +$54 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $193 −$45 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $257 +$90 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $218 +$42 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$35 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $93 +$22 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$172
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $55 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $49 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $104 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $66 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $63 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $68 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $29 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $38 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $97 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $105 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 -3.4% -12.6% 53% 40% -12.5%
≤30d 209 +0.7% -8.9% 59% 44% -9.9%
≤90d 211 +0.7% -8.9% 59% 43% -9.9%
all 211 +0.7% -8.9% 59% 43% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 43% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 30% -18.5%
15% -25.6% 13% -26.4%
20% -32.9% 6% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $171.25 · official $163.77 · 1454 history records