Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T13:09:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x931b…7485 crypto 1076 markets active 1h ago coverage 130d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 129d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$8,722 (-0%) realized −$8,722 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1057W / 19L
Whale WR98%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,818per market
Trades / day17.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days−$376
14 days−$567
30 days−$1,818
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$10,792
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -2.5% -11.8% 96% 0% -12.4%
≤30d 171 -2.0% -11.4% 96% 0% -12.6%
≤90d 699 -1.0% -10.4% 98% 0% -10.5%
all 1076 -0.6% -10.1% 98% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.9 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 0% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 98% (≥$2,501) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$1,541 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

130d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,722
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1057 / 19
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1076 / 1076
History coverage130d ⚠
Avg bet$1,818
Trades / day17.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1076 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 22 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 22 $600 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 22 $289 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 22 $901 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 22 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $901 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $801 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $300 −$293 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $140 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $140 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $131 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $130 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $120 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $120 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $120 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $120 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $118 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $116 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $90 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $90 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $238 −$238 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $200 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $300 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $300 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $300 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $290 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $290 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $280 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $280 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $400 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $400 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $200 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $400 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $289 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $400 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $400 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $400 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $400 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $200 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $300 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.