Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:48:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x931c…a002
crypto · 330 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$50,992 +193%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,012 · open −$359
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,505
Realized−$10,012
Unrealized−$359
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses96 / 501
Open positions3
Markets (closed)597 / 330
History coverage14d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day232.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 597 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19,429
7 days−$16,353
14 days−$13,046
30 days−$10,012
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2,030 $1,677 −$352 (-17%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $720 $697 −$23 (-3%)
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 25¢ 28¢ $114 $130 +$16 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $223 −$223 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $570 −$570 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $173 −$173 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $157 −$157 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $298 −$298 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $141 −$141 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $75 −$75 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$13,440
other 3% −$359
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 453 -48.4% -53.3% 11% 10% -48.8%
≤30d 597 -21.6% -29.1% 16% 16% -28.6%
≤90d 597 -21.6% -29.1% 16% 16% -28.6%
all 597 -21.6% -29.1% 16% 16% -28.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover232.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.1% 16% -28.6%
10% ← realistic here -35.9% 16% -35.5%
15% -42.1% 16% -41.7%
20% -47.7% 16% -47.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,505.09 · official $2,505.14 (match) · 3500 history records