trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 100% | 0% | -8.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 67% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 67% | 0% | -8.9% |
| all | 24 | -4.0% | -13.1% | 54% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 20 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $37 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 05 | $71 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 01 | $3 | $0 | -14% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30? | Jun 10 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | Jun 08 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | May 15 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Apr 27 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 27 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | Apr 27 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Can | Apr 26 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canad | Apr 25 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Apr 24 | $3 | $0 | +8% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | Apr 24 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 23 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 21-28? | Mar 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |