Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T07:35:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x9322…1c04 crypto 488 markets active 2h ago coverage 64d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$230 (-0%) realized −$230 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate97%475W / 13L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$332per market
Trades / day13.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$167
7 days+$167
14 days−$77
30 days−$569
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$430
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +4.1% -5.8% 100% 22% -6.0%
≤30d 178 -0.7% -10.1% 98% 3% -10.1%
≤90d 488 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 5% -9.8%
all 488 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 5% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 5% -9.8%
10% -18.3% 1% -18.4%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$274 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

64d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$230
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses475 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)488 / 488
History coverage64d
Avg bet$332
Trades / day13.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 488 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1AM ET Jun 18 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12AM ET Jun 18 $499 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11PM ET Jun 18 $499 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10PM ET Jun 18 $500 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET Jun 18 $483 +$17 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET Jun 18 $428 +$72 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5PM ET Jun 17 $499 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4PM ET Jun 17 $449 +$51 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $481 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $443 +$57 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Jun 09 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET Jun 09 $498 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $499 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET Jun 08 $499 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $481 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $483 +$17 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET Jun 08 $490 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $290 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10PM ET Jun 08 $478 +$22 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 08 $499 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2PM ET Jun 07 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Jun 07 $472 +$28 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Jun 07 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10AM ET Jun 06 $486 −$485 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2AM ET Jun 06 $463 +$37 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11PM ET Jun 06 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8PM ET Jun 06 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12PM ET Jun 04 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3AM ET Jun 04 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8PM ET Jun 04 $999 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7PM ET Jun 04 $145 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET Jun 03 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET Jun 03 $999 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET Jun 03 $483 +$17 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET Jun 03 $500 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET Jun 03 $999 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET Jun 02 $430 −$425 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET Jun 02 $138 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET Jun 02 $999 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7AM ET Jun 02 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12AM ET Jun 02 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET Jun 02 $34 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET Jun 02 $499 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET Jun 01 $493 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET Jun 01 $218 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET Jun 01 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET Jun 01 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET Jun 01 $473 +$27 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $495 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $499 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $499 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $500 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $483 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $428 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $499 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $449 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $481 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $443 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $495 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $495 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $498 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $499 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $116 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $382 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $481 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $483 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $252 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $233 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $490 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $88 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $176 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $478 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $499 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $119 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $322 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $54 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1315 history records