Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T19:34:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x9323…4f44 crypto 519 markets active 3d ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (75 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$138 (-5%) realized −$138 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate56%293W / 226L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day74.7pace
Kalshi-fit65%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$74
14 days−$176
30 days−$176
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 65% −$34
other 35% −$143
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (75 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -17.3% -25.2% 44% 44% -22.4%
≤30d 519 -7.8% -16.6% 56% 56% -15.6%
≤90d 519 -7.8% -16.6% 56% 56% -15.6%
all 519 -7.8% -16.6% 56% 56% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover74.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 56% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 56% -23.7%
15% -31.9% 55% -31.0%
20% -38.6% 47% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -24% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$138
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses293 / 226
Open positions0
Markets (closed)519 / 519
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day74.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 519 Trades
no open positions (202 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$6 +118%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$4 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$6 +120%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$4 +76%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$4 +83%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$6 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$5 +87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$7 +140%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$4 +76%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$3 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$6 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$5 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 896 history records