Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9325…8fe7
crypto · 54 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$38 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses24 / 30
Open positions0
Markets (closed)54 / 54
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day67.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$38
14 days−$38
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$12 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$7 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$16 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$14 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$19 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$50 +945%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $20 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +5.6% -4.4% 44% 44% -17.6%
≤30d 54 +5.6% -4.4% 44% 44% -17.6%
≤90d 54 +5.6% -4.4% 44% 44% -17.6%
all 54 +5.6% -4.4% 44% 44% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.4% 44% -17.6%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 44% -25.5%
15% -21.9% 44% -32.7%
20% -29.6% 41% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 89 history records