Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:11:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x933e…02bc
politics · 5 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$19 -56%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP politics specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$18
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)2 / 5
History coverage4d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+45%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$2 (-88%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 13 $7 −$6 -81%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 11 $16 −$12 -73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 100% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-79.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -77.1% -79.2% 0% 0% -77.8%
≤30d 2 -77.1% -79.2% 0% 0% -77.8%
≤90d 2 -77.1% -79.2% 0% 0% -77.8%
all 2 -77.1% -79.2% 0% 0% -77.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -79.2% 0% -77.8%
10% -81.2% 0% -79.9%
15% -83.0% 0% -81.9%
20% -84.7% 0% -83.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.95 · official $7.84 (match) · 10 history records