Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:18:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9348…6664
crypto · 272 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,521 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,521 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,521
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses192 / 110
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$1,529
Open positions0
Markets (closed)302 / 272
History coverage14d
Avg bet$794
Trades / day240.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 302 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,630
7 days−$21,215
14 days−$6,521
30 days−$6,521
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 63¢ $788 $0 −$788 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 52¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 60¢ $267 $0 −$267 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 37¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 44¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 42¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 11¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) KT Rolster 50¢ $239 $0 −$239 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 19¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 Winner Ozarox Esports 50¢ $191 $0 −$191 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 66¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 29¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 48¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 58¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 26¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 49¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 34¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 71¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 92¢ $4,511 $0 −$4,511 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 48¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner Movistar KOI 22¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 21¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner EDward Gaming 36¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 1 Winner BIG $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 25¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $267 −$1,867 -700%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 12 $239 −$239 -100%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $191 −$409 -215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$19 -76%
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $107 −$418 -389%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$175 -175%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$3,897 -181220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$32 +631%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs Jun 12 $258 −$258 -100%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World C Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Brute - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$88 -172%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series Jun 12 $579 −$514 -89%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $200 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $234 −$334 -143%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$103 -15839%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$36 -73%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 −$59 -59028%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$196 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $779 +$69 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $552 +$103 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1,531 +$52 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $377 −$17 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1,218 +$44 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $311 +$21 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $612 −$14 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $106 +$13 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $189 +$57 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $650 +$68 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $180 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $795 +$28 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $978 +$4 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $202 +$22 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$37 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $799 +$148 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $319 −$186 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$50 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $921 +$85 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $292 +$18 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% +$1,268
crypto 34% +$1,481
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $25 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $25 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 139 -12.6% -20.9% 56% 35% -25.6%
≤30d 302 -6.6% -15.5% 64% 41% -8.7%
≤90d 302 -6.6% -15.5% 64% 41% -8.7%
all 302 -6.6% -15.5% 64% 41% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover240.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 41% -8.7%
10% -23.6% 24% -17.4%
15% ← realistic here -30.9% 15% -25.4%
20% -37.7% 11% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records