Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:01:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x9357…5d38 crypto 669 markets active 4d ago coverage 33d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$28 (-3%) realized −$28 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR63%break-even
Win rate63%423W / 246L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day26.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$20
14 days−$39
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 186 -12.6% -21.0% 43% 43% -19.2%
≤30d 666 -5.0% -14.1% 63% 63% -13.6%
≤90d 669 -5.3% -14.3% 63% 63% -13.9%
all 669 -5.3% -14.3% 63% 63% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 63% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 45% -22.1%
15% -30.0% 28% -29.6%
20% -36.9% 17% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses423 / 246
Open positions0
Markets (closed)669 / 669
History coverage33d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day26.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 669 Trades
no open positions (129 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +159%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1508 history records