Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:27:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9367…9ef5
other · 13 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$378 +41%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$334 · open +$44
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$144
Realized+$334
Unrealized+$44
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses3 / 9
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)12 / 13
History coverage2d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit8%
Chart Positions 1 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$335
7 days+$334
14 days+$334
30 days+$334
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 24¢ $100 $144 +$44 (+44%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 60¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $295 +$335 +114%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $203 −$203 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $153 +$252 +165%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 +$101 +982%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $10 −$1 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 89% +$478
sports 11% −$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $102 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $101 11h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $630 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $295 25h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $15 33h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $203 33h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $405 41h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? BUY Yes 3¢ $4 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? SELL Yes 15¢ $9 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 7¢ $10 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $153 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +37.4% +24.4% 25% 25% +27.3%
≤30d 12 +37.4% +24.4% 25% 25% +27.3%
≤90d 12 +37.4% +24.4% 25% 25% +27.3%
all 12 +37.4% +24.4% 25% 25% +27.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +24.4% 25% +27.3%
10% +12.5% 25% +15.1%
15% +1.6% 25% +4.0%
20% -8.4% 25% -6.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $144.12 · official $144.12 (match) · 24 history records