Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:00:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9370…fdc6
other · 117 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses32 / 84
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions1
Markets (closed)116 / 117
History coverage345d
Avg bet$99
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 1 History 116 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$2
14 days−$0
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? No 96¢ 96¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 13 $121 $0 +0%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 12 $126 $0 +0%
Netanyahu out by June 30? Jun 11 $149 $0 +0%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $149 $0 +0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 10 $72 −$2 -2%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $165 $0 -0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 08 $616 +$2 +0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 08 $155 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 06 $151 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 06 $540 $0 +0%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 06 $179 +$1 +1%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 04 $64 −$5 -8%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 02 $310 $0 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 02 $87 $0 +0%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Jun 02 $171 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by May 31? Jun 02 $145 $0 +0%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 01 $2 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? May 31 $22 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 31 $61 +$2 +2%
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? May 30 $154 +$1 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? May 30 $139 $0 +0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? May 30 $18 +$1 +3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? May 29 $21 $0 +0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? May 29 $141 −$3 -2%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? May 28 $508 +$1 +0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab May 27 $117 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 26 $15 $0 -2%
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 25 $54 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? May 23 $167 $0 +0%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? May 23 $165 $0 -0%
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tam Apr 26 $9 $0 +5%
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W Apr 24 $63 −$1 -2%
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the Apr 24 $31 $0 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? Apr 23 $15 +$4 +26%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? Apr 22 $4 +$1 +23%
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 16 $23 +$2 +9%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 16 $28 −$2 -8%
Will Trump visit China by April 30? Apr 16 $903 $0 +0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Apr 16 $903 +$1 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 15 $992 +$1 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 15 $1,160 −$3 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Apr 15 $902 $0 +0%
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? Dec 31 $16 $0 +2%
Will Trump deport less than 250,000? Dec 26 $22 $0 +1%
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? Dec 17 $9 $0 +0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Dec 12 $1 $0 +5%
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? Dec 12 $8 +$4 +43%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Dec 05 $1 −$1 -56%
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03? Nov 26 $12 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 39% −$2
other 29% +$7
sports 19% −$2
politics 11% −$3
culture 1% $0
finance 1% +$3
crypto 0% +$1
tech 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $121 3m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $121 1h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 90¢ $126 17h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 90¢ $126 17h
Netanyahu out by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $130 2d
Netanyahu out by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $20 2d
Netanyahu out by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $149 2d
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 89¢ $149 2d
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 89¢ $149 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 42¢ $70 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 43¢ $50 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 43¢ $22 2d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $165 3d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $165 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? SELL Yes 2¢ $5 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 3d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 27¢ $39 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 27¢ $6 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 27¢ $21 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 27¢ $24 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $65 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $13 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 45¢ $77 4d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $122 6d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $29 6d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $151 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 95¢ $46 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 95¢ $19 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 95¢ $86 6d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 95¢ $151 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -0.1% -9.6% 33% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 31 -0.2% -9.7% 32% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 43 +1.0% -8.6% 37% 5% -9.5%
all 116 +0.3% -9.3% 28% 3% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 3% -9.5%
10% -18.0% 3% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 2% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 1% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.59 · official $0.00 (match) · 454 history records