Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:05:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9374…a819
crypto · 945 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$404 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$403 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$403
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses524 / 419
Open positions1
Markets (closed)943 / 945
History coverage18d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day165.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 943 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$61
7 days+$4
14 days−$528
30 days−$403
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 63¢ 48¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$5 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$404
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 340 -1.4% -10.8% 58% 57% -9.4%
≤30d 943 -2.7% -12.0% 56% 54% -13.5%
≤90d 943 -2.7% -12.0% 56% 54% -13.5%
all 943 -2.7% -12.0% 56% 54% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover165.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 54% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 49% -21.8%
15% -28.1% 39% -29.3%
20% -35.2% 28% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.85 · official $4.01 (match) · 3500 history records