trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 0% | 0% | -17.3% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 0% | 0% | -17.3% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 0% | 0% | -17.3% |
| all | 2 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 0% | 0% | -17.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -17.3% | 0% | -17.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -25.2% | 0% | -25.2% |
| 15% | -32.4% | 0% | -32.5% |
| 20% | -39.0% | 0% | -39.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 83¢ | 83¢ | $17 | $17 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | Yes | 36¢ | 36¢ | $8 | $8 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | Yes | 53¢ | 39¢ | $7 | $5 | −$2 (-25%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | No | 44¢ | 61¢ | $3 | $4 | +$1 (+39%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 13¢ | 17¢ | $3 | $3 | +$1 (+28%) |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 8¢ | 9¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+12%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-25%) |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | No | 23¢ | 43¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+86%) |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? | Yes | 23¢ | 19¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? | Jun 18 | $160 | −$13 | -8% |
| Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 18 | $222 | −$20 | -9% |