Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:52:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9377…d749
sports · 230 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$63 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$45 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$45
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses116 / 96
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions18
Markets (closed)212 / 230
History coverage32d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day39.0
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 18 History 212 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$3
14 days−$1
30 days+$73
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 22¢ 23¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+7%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Yes 58¢ 55¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 50¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-6%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-5%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 14 $1 $0 -8%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 $0 -11%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $6 −$5 -82%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 -9%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 -8%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 $0 -10%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $16 +$8 +54%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $16 +$11 +66%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$12 +140%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $1 +$4 +365%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $13 −$4 -32%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? Jun 13 $3 +$1 +17%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Odo vs. Hursey: Total Games O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $25 +$10 +42%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $13 $0 -4%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% −$8
world 14% +$60
other 9% +$1
politics 4% −$2
weather 1% $0
tech 1% −$6
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 47¢ $0 16m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 47¢ $0 16m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 47¢ $0 16m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 34m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 34m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 34m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 34m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? SELL Yes 27¢ $0 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -5.1% -14.2% 48% 33% -9.0%
≤30d 199 -3.0% -12.3% 56% 35% -3.6%
≤90d 212 -3.0% -12.2% 55% 35% -6.4%
all 212 -3.0% -12.2% 55% 35% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 35% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 29% -15.4%
15% -28.3% 21% -23.6%
20% -35.3% 15% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.43 · official $29.49 (match) · 1375 history records