Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:48:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x937e…ccb0
crypto · 152 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$376 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$375 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$99
Realized−$375
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses31 / 120
Open positions1
Markets (closed)151 / 152
History coverage524d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 151 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$319
7 days−$333
14 days−$217
30 days−$244
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $75 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $82 +$67 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -95%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $253 −$250 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $51 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$33 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$22 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 08 $37 −$35 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$22 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 05 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 05 $145 +$131 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 05 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 05 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 05 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 05 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$10 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 05 $272 +$76 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 05 $48 −$45 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 05 $44 −$41 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 05 $58 −$55 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 05 $37 −$35 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 05 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 05 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 05 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 05 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 05 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 05 $11 −$10 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 51% +$138
world 24% +$111
other 12% −$372
sports 9% −$32
culture 3% −$145
politics 2% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $15 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $101 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $202 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -24.8% -32.0% 23% 19% -51.1%
≤30d 135 -22.4% -29.8% 19% 17% -18.1%
≤90d 141 -23.3% -30.6% 19% 18% -15.6%
all 151 -22.2% -29.6% 21% 19% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.6% 19% -16.5%
10% -36.4% 18% -24.5%
15% -42.5% 17% -31.8%
20% -48.2% 16% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.14 · official $99.14 (match) · 352 history records