trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 14 | -49.9% | -54.7% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -63.1% | -66.6% | 37% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 19 | -63.1% | -66.6% | 37% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -66.6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -69.8% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -72.7% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -75.4% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2,029 | $2,032 | +$3 (+0%) |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? | Jun 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 14? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? | Jun 10 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? | Jun 08 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 3? | Jun 04 | $2,079 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 3? | Jun 03 | $2,072 | +$6 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2? | Jun 02 | $2,070 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on June 1? | Jun 02 | $2,066 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 1? | Jun 01 | $2,062 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 31? | Jun 01 | $2,058 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30? | May 31 | $2,054 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 28? | May 28 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 27? | May 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24? | May 25 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 23? | May 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 21? | May 21 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 18? | May 19 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16? | May 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |