Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:59:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93a7…b7c6
sports · 39 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$38 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized−$14
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses18 / 14
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions7
Markets (closed)32 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day106.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 7 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Lucia Bronzetti 46¢ 66¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+42%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner FURIA 71¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+41%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 58¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+73%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 79¢ 68¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 49¢ 38¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-21%)
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Laura Samson 48¢ 34¢ $5 $3 −$1 (-28%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Yes 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Team Heretics Academy 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Daniel Galan 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage HEROIC Academy 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $9 −$1 -13%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $14 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +17%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $5 −$1 -26%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $5 −$1 -19%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$3 -32%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $5 +$1 +27%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $14 −$8 -55%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $14 +$9 +61%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$1 -35%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $9 +$2 +21%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $9 $0 -2%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $10 −$5 -55%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $9 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $9 −$3 -34%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 +57%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $5 −$2 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$30
world 3% $0
other 2% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 49¢ $5 12m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 41¢ $3 12m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 54¢ $5 17m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 79¢ $5 18m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 51¢ $5 22m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 46¢ $5 27m
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 48¢ $5 27m
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 46¢ $5 31m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Washington Nationals 78¢ $6 39m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 63¢ $5 44m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 34¢ $4 53m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 48¢ $4 54m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 51¢ $5 59m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 51¢ $5 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 14¢ $2 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 53¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 45¢ $4 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 35¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 54¢ $5 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 12¢ $1 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 43¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? SELL No 90¢ $4 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 77¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 89¢ $4 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 72¢ $6 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 76¢ $5 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 57¢ $3 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 51¢ $3 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Team Heretics Academy 64¢ $5 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 74¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -7.9% -16.6% 56% 34% -13.7%
≤30d 32 -7.9% -16.6% 56% 34% -13.7%
≤90d 32 -7.9% -16.6% 56% 34% -13.7%
all 32 -7.9% -16.6% 56% 34% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover106.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 34% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 19% -21.9%
15% -31.9% 9% -29.5%
20% -38.6% 6% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.19 · official $29.98 (match) · 117 history records