Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T22:59:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x93af…32ab sports 144 markets active 1h ago coverage 54d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 53d only
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$7,087 (-27%) realized −$7,087 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +82% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +40% what you keep after slip
Net edge+40%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate37%118W / 200L
Whale WR42%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$181per market
Trades / day62.1pace
Fees−$291est.
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,330
7 days−$3,988
14 days−$3,988
30 days−$4,032
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 83% +$342
other 17% −$56
tech 0% +$9
crypto 0% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+64.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 194 +104.4% +84.9% 27% 26% -36.1%
≤30d 197 +101.3% +82.1% 27% 26% -36.3%
≤90d 318 +81.9% +64.6% 37% 31% -23.2%
all 318 +81.9% +64.6% 37% 31% -23.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +64.6% 31% -23.2%
10% ← realistic here +48.9% 26% -30.5%
15% +34.5% 20% -37.2%
20% +21.3% 18% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +82% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 42% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +34% → late +130% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
22.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$46 vs −$48 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

54d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,087
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses118 / 200
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$291
Open positions0
Markets (closed)318 / 144
History coverage54d ⚠
Avg bet$181
Trades / day62.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 318 Trades
no open positions (223 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $13 −$15 -108%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $1 −$1 -89%
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 1 Winner Jun 20 $20 −$18 -88%
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Jun 20 $18 −$18 -99%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $3 +$15 +498%
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winner Jun 20 $18 −$34 -191%
LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $197 −$253 -128%
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $18 −$9 -50%
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs BoostGate Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 20 $9 +$74 +778%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $59 −$58 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $13 −$13 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $86 −$87 -101%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $2 +$106 +5990%
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 20 $37 −$37 -99%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner Jun 20 $40 −$44 -111%
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs OLDBOYS- - Map 1 Winner Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $15 −$7 -44%
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winner Jun 20 $10 −$3 -25%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $12 −$11 -91%
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $1 +$1 +163%
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs BoostGate Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $17 $0 +2%
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $10 +$17 +172%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $43 −$63 -146%
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winne Jun 20 $4 +$11 +292%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $1 −$127 -17558%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $5 +$1 +19%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $4 +$3 +69%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winne Jun 20 $2 $0 -31%
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $2 −$1 -65%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $14 −$13 -91%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Jun 20 $41 −$65 -161%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $0 +$18 +5629%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 20 $74 −$23 -31%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challe Jun 20 $0 +$21 +6855%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $24 −$32 -132%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $46 −$33 -71%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $6 −$7 -115%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $18 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 76¢ $76 1h
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $16 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 75¢ $76 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 75¢ $76 1h
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $16 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $18 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 76¢ $77 1h
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY No 63¢ $64 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 70¢ $71 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 67¢ $67 2h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 67¢ $67 2h
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $76 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 47¢ $48 2h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 72¢ $73 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 53¢ $53 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 44¢ $44 2h
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $74 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 51¢ $52 2h
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $74 2h
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $76 2h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 74¢ $75 2h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 88¢ $88 5h
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $80 5h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 28¢ $29 5h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? SELL No 7¢ $40 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records