Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:40:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93b5…9847
crypto · 83 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$22 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$67 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$117
Realized−$67
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses22 / 37
Open positions24
Markets (closed)59 / 83
History coverage6d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day54.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 24 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$67
14 days−$67
30 days−$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Yes 75¢ 81¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14? No 78¢ 81¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 14? Yes 93¢ 96¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 14? No 94¢ 95¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14? Yes 71¢ 78¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? Yes 95¢ 96¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? No 91¢ 95¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? No 90¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Down 48¢ 36¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Up 56¢ 64¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+13%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Yes 97¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14? Down 66¢ 66¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? No 96¢ 96¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 99¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 20? Yes 92¢ 91¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 20? Yes 98¢ 97¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 14? No 99¢ 97¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 14? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-42%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? Yes 28¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? No 98¢ 98¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 14? No 24¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$8 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$14 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$11 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$6 -18%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$9 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$6 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$8 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$17 +179%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$2 -17%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$63
other 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -19.3% -27.0% 37% 29% -23.1%
≤30d 59 -19.3% -27.0% 37% 29% -23.1%
≤90d 59 -19.3% -27.0% 37% 29% -23.1%
all 59 -19.3% -27.0% 37% 29% -23.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.0% 29% -23.1%
10% ← realistic here -34.0% 25% -30.4%
15% -40.4% 24% -37.2%
20% -46.2% 24% -43.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $117.06 · official $117.07 (match) · 364 history records