trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 17% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 8% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 8% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 27 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 22% | 4% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.4% | 4% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -20.8% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 18 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 17 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $28 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 09 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 06 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15 | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Will valid votes be between 36 million and 38 million in South Korean | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo? | Jun 04 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | Apr 25 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York C | Apr 24 | $83 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the San Francisco 49ers? | Apr 24 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%? | Apr 24 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | Apr 24 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga? | Apr 24 | $75 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 24 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | Apr 24 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 23 | $15 | +$3 | +19% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Apr 25? | Apr 23 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Jaguars draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 23 | $98 | $0 | -0% |