Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:17:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93bc…8ca3
sports · 562 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$271,358 -194%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$270,752 · open −$581
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,987
Realized−$270,752
Unrealized−$581
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses223 / 653
Whale WR (big bets)16%
Est. fees paid−$2,921
Open positions11
Markets (closed)876 / 562
History coverage29d
Avg bet$249
Trades / day115.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 11 History 876 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$283,924
7 days−$279,979
14 days−$280,541
30 days−$270,752
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 44¢ 53¢ $440 $530 +$90 (+20%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 34¢ $495 $502 +$8 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 33¢ 34¢ $330 $335 +$5 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 30¢ $310 $305 −$5 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 19¢ 18¢ $190 $185 −$5 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 34¢ 34¢ $61 $62 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 15¢ 16¢ $47 $52 +$5 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 25¢ 26¢ $13 $14 +$0 (+2%)
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Over 42¢ 50¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+19%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 43¢ 0¢ $681 $1 −$680 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Under 50¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 12¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-7.5) Thunder 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega Team Vitality 75¢ 0¢ $720 $0 −$720 (-100%)
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07? No 25¢ 0¢ $177 $0 −$177 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Team Heretics 25¢ 0¢ $234 $0 −$234 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $398 $0 −$398 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Heat Heat 69¢ 0¢ $755 $0 −$755 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Rockets (-5.5) Rockets 40¢ 0¢ $388 $0 −$388 (-100%)
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $267 $0 −$267 (-100%)
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5 Over 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) PARIVISION 42¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Magic vs. Cavaliers Magic 21¢ 0¢ $2,712 $0 −$2,712 (-100%)
Stars vs. Ducks Stars 28¢ 0¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers Jun 12 $81 −$72 -89%
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega Jun 12 $720 −$690 -96%
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07? Jun 12 $177 −$177 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $234 −$234 -100%
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Jun 12 $398 −$398 -100%
Celtics vs. Heat Jun 12 $755 −$755 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Rockets (-5.5) Jun 12 $388 −$388 -100%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $267 −$267 -100%
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Magic vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $2,712 −$2,712 -100%
Stars vs. Ducks Jun 12 $280 −$280 -100%
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims) Jun 12 $530 −$530 -100%
League of Legends: SK Gaming vs. G2 Esports Jun 12 $311 −$311 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $2,852 −$2,794 -98%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $566 −$566 -100%
China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Daria Kasatkina Jun 12 $520 −$520 -100%
Will Gangwon FC win on 2025-11-30? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5) Jun 12 $187 −$188 -100%
Canucks vs. Oilers Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $156 −$153 -98%
Will Brentford win on 2025-08-17? Jun 12 $142 −$146 -103%
Rockets vs. Grizzlies Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $278 +$205 +74%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO1) Jun 12 $670 −$338 -50%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Sea Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $386 −$300 -78%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playo Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Valorant: Xipto GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) Jun 12 $10 −$4 -45%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,950 −$2,950 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) Jun 12 $631 −$505 -80%
LoL: JDG vs AL Jun 12 $440 −$440 -100%
Brewers vs. Braves Jun 12 $550 −$550 -100%
Will Tunisia win on 2025-09-08? Jun 12 $348 −$348 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $245 −$245 -100%
Knicks vs. Mavericks Jun 12 $1,113 −$1,113 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO5) Jun 12 $219 −$219 -100%
Lightning vs. Red Wings Jun 12 $171 −$171 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Bilibili Gaming Jun 12 $312 −$312 -100%
Bengals vs. Eagles Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas Jun 12 $442 −$146 -33%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) Jun 12 $193 −$183 -95%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? Jun 12 $400 −$400 -100%
Knicks vs. Hornets Jun 12 $498 −$498 -100%
League of Legends: Team Vitality vs. Natus Vincere Jun 12 $199 −$279 -140%
Valorant: MIBR Female vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3) Jun 12 $1,067 −$538 -50%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,170 −$1,170 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$18,532
other 1% +$324
crypto 0% −$189
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 33¢ $78 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 25¢ $13 6m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 15¢ $47 11m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $52 15m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 33¢ $10 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 33¢ $69 25m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $440 31m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $337 45m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $195 47m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $1,498 47m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $168 52m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 33¢ $165 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 33¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $316 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $1,199 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 44¢ $167 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 44¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 44¢ $96 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $126 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 35¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 42¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 42¢ $43 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 42¢ $87 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 42¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 38¢ $114 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $98 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 42¢ $252 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 42¢ $11 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-44.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 528 -71.6% -74.3% 11% 11% -88.0%
≤30d 876 -38.7% -44.6% 25% 24% -68.2%
≤90d 876 -38.7% -44.6% 25% 24% -68.2%
all 876 -38.7% -44.6% 25% 24% -68.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.6% 24% -68.2%
10% ← realistic here -49.9% 23% -71.2%
15% -54.7% 21% -74.0%
20% -59.2% 19% -76.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,987.33 · official $1,987.26 (match) · 3500 history records