Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:46:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93c9…5851
crypto · 73 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$21 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$51
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses29 / 42
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)71 / 73
History coverage2d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day77.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$46
7 days−$51
14 days−$51
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5 Over 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Over 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +59%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$13 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$5 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$18 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$8 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$34
other 3% −$3
sports 3% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 11h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5 BUY Over 33¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $16 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -18.9% -26.7% 41% 37% -20.8%
≤30d 71 -18.9% -26.7% 41% 37% -20.8%
≤90d 71 -18.9% -26.7% 41% 37% -20.8%
all 71 -18.9% -26.7% 41% 37% -20.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.7% 37% -20.8%
10% ← realistic here -33.7% 35% -28.4%
15% -40.1% 25% -35.3%
20% -46.0% 18% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.33 · official $9.33 (match) · 157 history records