Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93cb…e4cc
crypto · 116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$26 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses52 / 63
Open positions1
Markets (closed)115 / 116
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day116.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$26
14 days−$26
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 49¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 -12.1% -20.5% 45% 45% -20.0%
≤30d 115 -12.1% -20.5% 45% 45% -20.0%
≤90d 115 -12.1% -20.5% 45% 45% -20.0%
all 115 -12.1% -20.5% 45% 45% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover116.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 45% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 45% -27.7%
15% -35.0% 45% -34.6%
20% -41.4% 43% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.83 · official $0.83 (match) · 168 history records