Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:05:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93d6…9529
crypto · 7 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$51 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses5 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$34
14 days−$34
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $113 −$45 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $56 −$55 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$14 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $145 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $102 +$37 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $113 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $56 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $36 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $145 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $40 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $102 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -5.2% -14.2% 71% 43% -15.5%
≤30d 7 -5.2% -14.2% 71% 43% -15.5%
≤90d 7 -5.2% -14.2% 71% 43% -15.5%
all 7 -5.2% -14.2% 71% 43% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 43% -15.5%
10% -22.4% 29% -23.6%
15% -29.9% 29% -31.0%
20% -36.8% 0% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 13 history records