Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93dc…f9fd
crypto · 86 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,865 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,780 · open −$84
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$266
Realized−$2,780
Unrealized−$84
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses29 / 50
Whale WR (big bets)35%
Open positions7
Markets (closed)79 / 86
History coverage3d
Avg bet$318
Trades / day65.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 7 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$517
7 days−$2,780
14 days−$2,780
30 days−$2,780
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 32¢ $200 $120 −$80 (-40%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 12¢ 13¢ $40 $44 +$4 (+9%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $40 $36 −$4 (-9%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-31%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$80 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $146 −$146 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $157 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$43 +200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $157 +$90 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $95 −$95 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$108 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$90 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$57 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -95%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $104 +$101 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $627 −$627 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $315 −$315 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $317 −$317 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $314 −$314 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $314 +$511 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $212 +$730 +344%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $74 +$121 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $212 +$372 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $160 −$160 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $207 −$207 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $1,111 +$964 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $318 −$318 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $631 −$631 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $636 −$636 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $314 −$272 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $310 +$255 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $1,576 −$1,576 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $1,582 −$1,582 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $1,281 −$1,281 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $2,101 +$1,470 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $1,031 +$421 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $1,038 −$1,038 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $525 +$1,067 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $1,006 −$1,006 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $427 −$427 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $318 −$318 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $952 +$2,163 +227%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$2,770
other 1% −$94
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 13m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 13¢ $21 40m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 42m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $101 46m
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 6¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $21 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $101 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $52 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $52 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $52 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $52 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $52 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $21 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $21 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $52 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $11 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $64 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $21 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $203 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $44 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $52 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $52 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $52 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $21 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $21 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -12.9% -21.2% 37% 37% -18.9%
≤30d 79 -12.9% -21.2% 37% 37% -18.9%
≤90d 79 -12.9% -21.2% 37% 37% -18.9%
all 79 -12.9% -21.2% 37% 37% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 37% -18.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.8% 37% -26.6%
15% -35.7% 37% -33.7%
20% -42.0% 33% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $265.75 · official $321.34 · 272 history records