Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T17:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x93dc…574e crypto 467 markets active 3h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (141 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$3,684 (+8%) realized +$3,684 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -40% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -54% what you keep after slip
Net edge-54%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate33%248W / 501L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$98per market
Trades / day141.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 23d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,793
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (141 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-45.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 426 -65.6% -68.9% 19% 19% -79.0%
≤30d 749 -40.1% -45.8% 33% 33% -50.4%
≤90d 749 -40.1% -45.8% 33% 33% -50.4%
all 749 -40.1% -45.8% 33% 33% -50.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover141.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.8% 33% -50.4%
10% ← realistic here -51.0% 33% -55.2%
15% -55.7% 33% -59.5%
20% -60.1% 33% -63.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -45% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -40% · $-wt -45% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -73% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$76 vs −$107 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.35 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,684
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses248 / 501
Open positions0
Markets (closed)749 / 467
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$98
Trades / day141.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 749 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $116 −$116 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $120 −$120 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $117 −$117 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $94 −$94 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $119 −$119 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $118 −$118 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $99 −$99 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $116 −$116 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $117 −$117 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $101 −$101 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $99 −$99 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $116 −$116 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $87 −$87 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $96 −$96 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $96 −$96 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $117 −$117 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $118 −$118 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $96 −$96 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $120 −$120 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $96 −$96 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $96 −$96 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $97 −$97 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $99 −$99 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $120 −$120 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $116 −$116 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $116 −$116 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $96 −$96 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $121 −$121 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $96 −$96 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $22 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $16 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $19 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $25 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $16 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $19 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $47 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $19 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $16 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $20 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $16 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $14 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $64 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $16 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $20 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $13 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $29 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records