Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:15:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93eb…fbbe
crypto · 434 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$247 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$243 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$243
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses350 / 85
Open positions1
Markets (closed)435 / 434
History coverage38d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day15.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 435 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-96%)
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10? Jun 13 $1 −$3 -294%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$240
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 146 +0.7% -8.9% 96% 3% -8.4%
≤30d 203 -15.8% -23.8% 79% 3% -10.9%
≤90d 435 -12.5% -20.8% 80% 13% -15.3%
all 435 -12.5% -20.8% 80% 13% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.8% 13% -15.3%
10% -28.4% 5% -23.5%
15% -35.3% 1% -30.8%
20% -41.7% 1% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 3500 history records