Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:21:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x93ed…41c3 crypto 633 markets active 20h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (149 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$188 (+5%) realized +$188 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate58%369W / 264L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day149.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$22
14 days+$45
30 days+$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (149 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 470 -2.7% -12.0% 56% 55% -10.2%
≤30d 633 -1.3% -10.7% 58% 56% -8.4%
≤90d 633 -1.3% -10.7% 58% 56% -8.4%
all 633 -1.3% -10.7% 58% 56% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover149.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 56% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 51% -17.1%
15% -27.1% 44% -25.1%
20% -34.2% 34% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$6 · ×0.74 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$188
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses369 / 264
Open positions0
Markets (closed)633 / 633
History coverage8d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day149.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 633 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$6 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$23 +215%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$4 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$10 +132%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$13 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$15 +144%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$14 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$9 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$3 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$5 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$4 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1843 history records