Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T08:23:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x93f4…522d crypto 322 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (84 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$4 (+0%) realized +$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate84%271W / 51L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day83.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (84 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 322 +0.2% -9.4% 84% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 322 +0.2% -9.4% 84% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 322 +0.2% -9.4% 84% 0% -9.4%
all 322 +0.2% -9.4% 84% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover83.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.17 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses271 / 51
Open positions0
Markets (closed)322 / 322
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day83.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 322 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 668 history records