trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +17.2% | +6.1% | 33% | 25% | +58.9% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +40.6% | +27.2% | 38% | 31% | +68.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +40.6% | +27.2% | 38% | 31% | +68.5% |
| all | 20 | +46.5% | +32.5% | 40% | 35% | +58.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +32.5% | 35% | +58.3% |
| 10% | +19.9% | 35% | +43.2% |
| 15% | +8.3% | 35% | +29.3% |
| 20% | -2.3% | 35% | +16.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | $50 | $40 | −$10 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $143 | +$434 | +303% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $51 | −$40 | -79% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $103 | +$361 | +352% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $101 | +$7 | +6% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Neither team to score first? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $99 | +$225 | +226% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? | Jun 14 | $103 | −$4 | -4% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $41 | +$131 | +321% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 12? | Dec 12 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 5? | Dec 04 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 2? | Dec 04 | $60 | +$184 | +307% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 4? | Dec 04 | $40 | +$66 | +166% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 4? | Dec 04 | $50 | −$21 | -42% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 3? | Dec 04 | $20 | +$54 | +272% |