Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:25:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9410…b32e
sports · 186 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$121 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$323 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$323
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses109 / 76
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$193
Open positions1
Markets (closed)185 / 186
History coverage24d
Avg bet$115
Trades / day22.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 1 History 185 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$143
7 days−$950
14 days−$373
30 days−$323
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Ben Shelton 64¢ 46¢ $13 $9 −$4 (-27%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Dallas Wings 45¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 69¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 14 $6 +$7 +112%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $33 −$22 -66%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $43 −$8 -19%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $20 +$17 +83%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $6 +$14 +226%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $6 +$4 +70%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Jun 14 $12 −$12 -98%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $9 +$3 +33%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $33 −$24 -72%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $79 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$3 +13%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $8 +$2 +28%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $25 −$24 -95%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $36 +$17 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $33 −$9 -26%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $127 −$30 -24%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $41 +$22 +53%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$9 -38%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $64 +$9 +13%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $70 −$6 -9%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $127 −$26 -20%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $40 −$36 -91%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$45 -88%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $96 +$17 +17%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $50 +$12 +24%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $360 −$147 -41%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $151 +$30 +20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $90 +$19 +21%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $128 +$49 +38%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $20 +$14 +68%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$54 +107%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $96 −$95 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $136 +$25 +18%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $131 +$30 +23%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $35 +$25 +70%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $231 +$6 +2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$20 +20%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$22 +43%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 +$10 +10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $735 −$380 -52%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $35 −$23 -66%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $35 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$5
other 4% −$319
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 64¢ $13 0m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel SELL Taro Daniel 99¢ $13 3m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 46¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner SELL Metizport 93¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner BUY Metizport 92¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL illwill 100¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 82¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL Virtus.pro 16¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 86¢ $28 2h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner SELL Virtus.pro 99¢ $28 3h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 82¢ $23 3h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner SELL illwill 28¢ $7 3h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY illwill 77¢ $20 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 94¢ $37 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $20 6h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 7h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 7h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 100¢ $10 9h
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 45¢ $12 11h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $6 11h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 58¢ $6 11h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $12 12h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 74¢ $9 12h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 17¢ $9 12h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $33 19h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 81¢ $33 19h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $34 19h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 61¢ $23 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 97¢ $10 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 4¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -6.9% -15.8% 53% 45% -14.9%
≤30d 185 -5.4% -14.4% 59% 50% -10.8%
≤90d 185 -5.4% -14.4% 59% 50% -10.8%
all 185 -5.4% -14.4% 59% 50% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 50% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 35% -19.4%
15% -30.1% 26% -27.2%
20% -36.9% 17% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.45 · official $9.45 (match) · 610 history records