Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9412…0cd0
crypto · 92 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,693 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,701 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$40
Realized−$2,701
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses51 / 128
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)179 / 92
Avg bet$375
Trades / day3409.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 179 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,701
7 days−$2,701
14 days−$2,701
30 days−$2,701
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 21¢ 26¢ $32 $40 +$8 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $186 $0 −$186 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $334 $0 −$334 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $186 −$186 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $334 −$334 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$15 -105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $266 −$266 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,628
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $8 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $13 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $36 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $8 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $44 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-39.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 179 -33.5% -39.8% 28% 21% -16.2%
≤30d 179 -33.5% -39.8% 28% 21% -16.2%
≤90d 179 -33.5% -39.8% 28% 21% -16.2%
all 179 -33.5% -39.8% 28% 21% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3409.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.8% 21% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -45.6% 9% -24.2%
15% -50.8% 5% -31.5%
20% -55.7% 3% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.75 · official $48.75 · 3500 history records