Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x941e…58b1
crypto · 1196 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$42 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1144 / 52
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1196 / 1196
History coverage20d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day64.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47
7 days−$366
14 days−$152
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 373 -6.7% -15.6% 88% 10% -17.2%
≤30d 1196 -0.0% -9.6% 96% 8% -9.8%
≤90d 1196 -0.0% -9.6% 96% 8% -9.8%
all 1196 -0.0% -9.6% 96% 8% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 8% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 4% -18.4%
15% -26.1% 1% -26.3%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.10 · official $10.10 (match) · 3500 history records