Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x942e…be27
weather · 1045 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$19,577 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,617 · open −$6,658
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$220
Realized−$12,617
Unrealized−$6,658
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses29 / 117
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions473
Markets (closed)146 / 1045
History coverage2d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day1445.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 473 History 146 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,509
7 days−$12,617
14 days−$12,617
30 days−$12,617
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day? No 96¢ 96¢ $29 $29 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more? Yes 12¢ 99¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+692%)
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes 6¢ 14¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+116%)
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $258 $4 −$254 (-99%)
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $258 $4 −$254 (-99%)
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $258 $4 −$254 (-99%)
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $258 $4 −$254 (-99%)
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $258 $4 −$254 (-99%)
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $258 $4 −$254 (-99%)
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $258 $4 −$254 (-99%)
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $258 $4 −$254 (-99%)
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $258 $4 −$254 (-99%)
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $256 $4 −$252 (-99%)
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $252 $4 −$249 (-99%)
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $252 $4 −$249 (-99%)
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $244 $3 −$241 (-99%)
Will Josh Turek win the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary by 30% or more? Yes 17¢ 11¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-32%)
Will Corey Lewandowski win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $8 $3 −$5 (-58%)
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%? Yes 11¢ 99¢ $0 $3 +$2 (+795%)
Will Josh Turek win the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary by less than 10%? Yes 17¢ 9¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-47%)
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? Yes 4¢ 68¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+1600%)
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes 12¢ 99¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+696%)
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%? Yes 11¢ 3¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-73%)
Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary? Yes 14¢ 60¢ $0 $2 +$1 (+322%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Alani Bankhead be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1702%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 27? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1000%
Will Crystal Palace score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Co Jun 12 $0 +$1 +2405%
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? Jun 12 $0 $0 +300%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 28? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 28? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1343%
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the most seats in South Ko Jun 12 $0 $0 +1102%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 1? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1345%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1002%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1002%
Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 +501%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on June 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 3? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1002%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1002%
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? Jun 12 $0 $0 +3080%
Will Filippo Boscagli win the 2026 Lecco mayoral election? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1106%
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this we Jun 12 $0 $0 +2115%
Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attor Jun 12 $0 $0 +400%
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2 Jun 12 $0 $0 +401%
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 3-1 through 4 games? Jun 12 $0 $0 +500%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the seco Jun 12 $0 +$1 +2743%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4? Jun 12 $0 $0 +2161%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 29? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1002%
Will Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth be between 4% and 5.5%? Jun 12 $0 $0 +400%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on May 30? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1010%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on Jun 12 $871 −$871 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $146 −$146 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $513 −$513 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $47 −$46 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $36 −$35 -98%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $112 −$108 -97%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e Jun 12 $105 −$104 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $132 −$132 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $524 −$524 -100%
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $550 −$550 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $28 −$27 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 36°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia be the worst-placed Asian nation in the 2026 FIFA Wo Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $307 −$307 -100%
Will Jordan be the worst-placed Asian nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 29% −$4,888
other 26% −$11,960
tech 14% −$1,185
politics 12% −$585
sports 7% −$232
finance 5% $0
culture 3% −$81
world 3% −$286
economics 1% −$66
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on BUY No 97¢ $29 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY No 97¢ $7 2m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY No 97¢ $8 2m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY No 98¢ $29 2m
Will Japan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY No 84¢ $25 3m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 87¢ $19 6m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju BUY No 79¢ $10 6m
Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $30 7m
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 89¢ $27 7m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 83¢ $25 9m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 90¢ $5 9m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 21¢ $16 11m
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY No 98¢ $22 11m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on BUY No 98¢ $122 14m
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $28 15m
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June SELL Yes 40¢ $1 15m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY No 98¢ $29 16m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY No 98¢ $29 16m
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at le BUY No 98¢ $29 18m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less BUY No 100¢ $30 19m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY No 98¢ $29 20m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on BUY No 98¢ $29 20m
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June SELL Yes 40¢ $2 20m
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, SELL Yes 5¢ $0 21m
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o BUY No 97¢ $5 22m
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 14? BUY No 94¢ $28 24m
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $30 24m
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June SELL Yes 40¢ $2 25m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY No 84¢ $25 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)+109.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 146 +131.8% +109.7% 20% 20% -98.8%
≤30d 146 +131.8% +109.7% 20% 20% -98.8%
≤90d 146 +131.8% +109.7% 20% 20% -98.8%
all 146 +131.8% +109.7% 20% 20% -98.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1445.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +109.7% 20% -98.8%
10% ← realistic here +89.6% 20% -99.0%
15% +71.3% 20% -99.1%
20% +54.5% 20% -99.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $220.45 · official $202.65 · 3500 history records