Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9438…fc9b
crypto · 509 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$450 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$450 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$450
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses214 / 290
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)504 / 509
History coverage56d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day56.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 5 History 504 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$83
7 days−$83
14 days−$84
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$9 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$9 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$7 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$9 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$16 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$10 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$11 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$16 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$13 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$12 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$7 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$11 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$8 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$3 +9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$11 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$2 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$449
weather 0% −$4
other 0% −$1
sports 0% +$5
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $5 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -7.9% -16.7% 36% 23% -14.1%
≤30d 57 -9.5% -18.1% 35% 23% -14.2%
≤90d 504 -1.8% -11.2% 42% 22% -14.6%
all 504 -1.8% -11.2% 42% 22% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 22% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 12% -22.8%
15% -27.4% 8% -30.2%
20% -34.6% 6% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.90 · official $13.90 (match) · 3500 history records