Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:51:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9444…048e
sports · 102 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$76 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$63 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$266
Realized+$63
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses42 / 39
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions21
Markets (closed)81 / 102
History coverage2d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day217.8
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 21 History 81 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$61
7 days+$63
14 days+$63
30 days+$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) FURIA 37¢ 100¢ $19 $50 +$32 (+169%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 94¢ $41 $47 +$6 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner FURIA 55¢ 100¢ $21 $38 +$17 (+81%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs K27 54¢ 50¢ $23 $22 −$1 (-6%)
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Leo Team 69¢ 68¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 92¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Leo Team 45¢ 48¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+8%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 52¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+3%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Spirit 66¢ 74¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 79¢ 94¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+20%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) Spirit 59¢ 50¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-16%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 72¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+39%)
Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5) K27 76¢ 72¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner K27 52¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 71¢ 70¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) KOLESIE 65¢ 66¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner K27 53¢ 62¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+17%)
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Festina Lente 19¢ 19¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs KOLESIE 40¢ 34¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 41¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) PARIVISION 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Bebop 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$6 +140%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Divisi Jun 13 $39 +$8 +21%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) Jun 13 $35 +$18 +51%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +82%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: RUST (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $17 +$4 +23%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 13 $8 +$8 +99%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +89%
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $15 +$12 +76%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: HERO.A (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5) Jun 13 $8 +$2 +22%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $12 +$9 +79%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) Jun 13 $6 +$5 +81%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $18 +$14 +75%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $9 +$19 +214%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $22 +$14 +65%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $43 +$3 +7%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $30 +$12 +41%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs OLDBOYS- (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $32 +$25 +76%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 +$13 +191%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $10 +$5 +54%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$4 +268%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $19 +$30 +158%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$71
other 3% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) BUY KOLESIE 65¢ $3 8m
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Festina Lente 20¢ $1 38m
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Festina Lente 19¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY KOLESIE 40¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner BUY K27 53¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 46¢ $3 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 52¢ $3 1h
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) BUY Leo Team 69¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY K27 51¢ $3 1h
Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5) BUY K27 76¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY K27 53¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner SELL Bebop 100¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Divisi SELL The Last Resort 100¢ $47 1h
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) SELL Bebop 99¢ $53 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 45¢ $3 1h
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) BUY Leo Team 69¢ $4 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $4 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $38 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 45¢ $3 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 2h
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) BUY Leo Team 69¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 45¢ $3 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 2h
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) BUY Leo Team 69¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 44¢ $2 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) BUY FURIA 38¢ $2 2h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) SELL MOUZ 100¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY K27 49¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 +2.6% -7.2% 52% 51% -3.6%
≤30d 81 +2.6% -7.2% 52% 51% -3.6%
≤90d 81 +2.6% -7.2% 52% 51% -3.6%
all 81 +2.6% -7.2% 52% 51% -3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover217.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 51% -3.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 46% -12.8%
15% -24.2% 42% -21.2%
20% -31.6% 36% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $266.43 · official $266.44 (match) · 506 history records