Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:40:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x944c…cca2
sports · 66 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$102 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$104
Realized−$90
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses29 / 28
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions9
Markets (closed)57 / 66
History coverage5d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day82.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 9 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$90
14 days−$90
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin Viktorija Golubic 78¢ 90¢ $24 $27 +$3 (+14%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Antonia Ruzic 67¢ 86¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+27%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Anhelina Kalinina 67¢ 89¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+33%)
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis David Jorda Sanchis 52¢ 62¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+19%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Diane Parry 71¢ 82¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+16%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 77¢ 86¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+12%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Ella Seidel 32¢ 18¢ $12 $7 −$5 (-45%)
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Donna Vekic 66¢ 68¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin Sofia Kenin 15¢ 10¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-30%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman Zeynep Sonmez 83¢ 94¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+12%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Lulu Sun 38¢ 11¢ $12 $3 −$9 (-71%)
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Kamil Majchrzak 34¢ 61¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+79%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Taylah Preston 22¢ 14¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-35%)
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis Felix Balshaw 43¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman Hannah Klugman 17¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-61%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $38 −$4 -12%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $79 +$22 +27%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4 +$5 +134%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $8 −$1 -12%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $44 −$17 -39%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $6 +$2 +34%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $4 +$10 +252%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $23 +$14 +60%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $4 −$2 -43%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $12 −$7 -56%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $8 −$2 -25%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $20 +$5 +25%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $21 +$16 +76%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $8 −$1 -13%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $12 −$4 -36%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $32 +$4 +14%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $57 +$5 +9%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $10 +$5 +53%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $14 +$15 +103%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $16 −$7 -43%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $14 −$8 -57%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $26 −$16 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 9, 1PM ET? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$4 +397%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$1
crypto 23% −$104
other 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY Felix Balshaw 43¢ $2 0m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 82¢ $2 1m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Sofia Kenin 18¢ $1 2m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 82¢ $2 3m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 81¢ $2 6m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 16¢ $2 9m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 82¢ $2 9m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 81¢ $2 9m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 78¢ $2 10m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 78¢ $2 10m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 53¢ $2 13m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 53¢ $2 14m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 86¢ $2 15m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Antonia Ruzic 78¢ $2 16m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Antonia Ruzic 76¢ $2 17m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Sofia Kenin 12¢ $2 17m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Sofia Kenin 10¢ $2 19m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 92¢ $2 22m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Hannah Klugman 15¢ $2 24m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 37¢ $2 25m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 51¢ $2 27m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Zeynep Sonmez 81¢ $2 27m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Hannah Klugman 19¢ $2 31m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Zeynep Sonmez 86¢ $2 32m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 66¢ $2 33m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 72¢ $2 35m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Antonia Ruzic 65¢ $2 36m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 68¢ $2 39m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Antonia Ruzic 63¢ $2 39m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Antonia Ruzic 59¢ $2 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -4.4% -13.5% 51% 44% -20.9%
≤30d 57 -4.4% -13.5% 51% 44% -20.9%
≤90d 57 -4.4% -13.5% 51% 44% -20.9%
all 57 -4.4% -13.5% 51% 44% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 44% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 33% -28.5%
15% -29.4% 25% -35.4%
20% -36.3% 19% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103.50 · official $103.92 (match) · 456 history records