Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:23:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9450…0d67
crypto · 59 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$61 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$57 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$57
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses33 / 24
Open positions2
Markets (closed)57 / 59
History coverage25d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 2 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$57
7 days+$45
14 days+$45
30 days+$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 48¢ 86¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+79%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 14¢ 16¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$6 +252%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$7 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$5 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +202%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$10 +111%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$8 +116%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +19%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +57%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$12 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$8 +208%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$18 +122%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +57%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$10 +73%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +57%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +124%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$4 +50%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +57%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% +$55
other 28% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $8 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $9 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $16 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $14 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $13 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $17 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $14 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $15 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +7.3% -2.9% 60% 54% +1.3%
≤30d 57 +7.0% -3.2% 58% 53% +3.1%
≤90d 57 +7.0% -3.2% 58% 53% +3.1%
all 57 +7.0% -3.2% 58% 53% +3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.2% 53% +3.1%
10% -12.5% 49% -6.8%
15% -20.9% 46% -15.8%
20% -28.7% 44% -24.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.68 · official $12.71 · 95 history records